Final NFL 2023 Ratings through results of 2024 FEBRUARY 11 SUNDAY - SUPER BOWL this output has three parts: (1) teams listed by RATING top-to-bottom (2) DIVISION AVERAGES (listed top-to-bottom & by conference) (3) teams listed by DIVISION (listed in order within divisions) The SCHEDULE ratings represent what the rating would have to be for a ...favored by .82 goals over a VISITING team having a rating of 4.11. Or a VISITING team with a rating of 4.56 would be favored by .17 goals. over a HOME team having a rating of 3.89. NOTE: Use whatever home advantage is listed in the output below. In the example just above, a home edge of .50 was shown for.The Eagles are banged up, but this is a game past Cowboys teams would have lost. Dallas is for real. 1. San Francisco 49ers (10-3): Brock Purdy averaged career highs of 10.5 air yards per pass and ...Launched from a Stanford University dorm room in 2000, TeamRankings has grown from a math geek's passion project into the web's #1 source for algorithmic sports predictions and data. We currently publish over 200,000 pages of projections, stats, rankings, and odds. Thousands of sports bettors and office pool players use our premium services to ...The current Sagarin Ratings has six SEC teams in the top 16, with Alabama Football at No.5 and Georgia at No. 6 leading the way for the SEC. ESPN's Football Power Index (FPI) again has six SEC ...Sagrin Care. 1,292 likes · 1 talking about this. Somos una empresa 100% uruguaya fundada en 1947. Más de 75 años brindando calidad y respaldo.In the wake of a wild Week 3, Eric Edholm reshuffles the NFL Power Rankings deck, presenting a brand new team on top -- and at the bottom. In fact, 31 of 32 squads are on the move in the updated ...NFL DRAFT HUB: Latest NFL Draft mock drafts, news, live picks, grades and analysis. 4. Chiefs (4): The reigning champs retain top billing amid AFC teams that have generally sputtered out of the gate.[ Player Win Averages for 1957-2006 Baseball] Every square inch of Indiana falls within the true boundaries of Central Time Zone [Central Time Zone for Indiana] [ All 92 Indiana Counties: Sunrise/Sunset Day-By-Day Charts for 2013-2016 Comparison of Central Time vs. Eastern Time] [ Jeff's Sports Ratings] [ College Basketball Sectionals Page] [ Indiana High School Basketball ONE-Class Sectionals!Download Our Printable Fantasy Football Cheat Sheets. These cheat sheets were updated on Sunday, April 28, at 10 a.m. ET. Enter your email address below to access all the different cheat sheets - PPR, 0.5 PPR, and Non-PPR. You will then be taken to the links for your draft type (dynasty or rookie) and league format. [ Football Situation Point Values developed in 1983 by V.Cabot,J.Sagarin,W.Winston] [ Men's College Soccer Ratings (Division I)] [ Women's College Soccer Ratings (Division I)] [ College Baseball Ratings for the 2013 Season] [ College Baseball Ratings for the 2014 Season] [ College Baseball Ratings for the 2015 Season] 89 Rice A = 64.45 4 8 72.95( 37) 0 0 | 0 4 | 66.06 83 | 62.88 98. 90 Boston College A = 64.40 4 8 70.71( 52) 0 0 | 0 3 | 63.14 95 | 64.88 84 FINAL College Football 2011 through games of 2012 January 9 Monday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here.Composite NFL Power Rankings. Updated Monday Jan. 8. 2023 Composite NFL Power Rankings. Calculated by aggregating computer generated power rankings from around …Lowest Totals. No matching games for this category, or odds have not yet been released. NFL football odds and football betting lines updated multiple times daily. Includes updated point spreads, money lines, and totals lines.Purdy leads the NFL in passer rating (115.1) and yards per attempt (9.7) by a wide margin. He has the second-highest yards per attempt by any quarterback through 10 team games since 1950 and the ...College football power rankings for 2022 preseason. Editor's note: In theory, each team should beat the teams ranked below them on a neutral field, and lose to the teams ranked above them. 10 ...Sagarin Nfl 2024. Nfl soccer golf tennis ap top 25 poll entertainment. Inflation personal finance financial markets. Since 2015, the simulator has used sagarin ratings, a method for measuring the strength of sports teams, when generating game outcomes. The 1st round from houston begins on thursday morning. 1, They’ll Feel Pretty Familiar. In the firstThe most powerful man in sports can tell you that Charleston Southern is ranked 327th in the country, played the 203rd toughest schedule and has a Sagarin …14. 7. 63. Allegiant Stadium, Paradise, NV. Recap. Box Score. Fast, updating NFL football game scores and stats as games are in progress are provided by CBSSports.com.Projected College Football Playoff Poll, Week 10. Back in 2021, the Mountain West landed two teams — San Diego State and Fresno State — in that season’s first College Football Playoffs ...PFT's Week 15 2023 NFL power rankings. 1. 49ers (10-3, last week No. 1): There's still a gap between them and the field, but the Ravens will have a chance to close it (or not) on Christmas night. 2. Ravens (10-3, No. 3): The table is set to force the road to Nevada through Baltimore. 3.The 2018 Bama team is currently scores 48.7 per gamed allows 13.1 per game, yielding and average margin of victory of 35.6. Let's not gloss over the fact that the 95 Nebraska squad was absolutely amazing. Granted, it wasn't the toughest schedule ever, but they resoundingly beat four top 10 teams: #8 Kansas St - 49-25.Per Jeff Sagarin, these teams have played the 14th (49ers) and 16th (Ravens) strongest schedules. Baltimore has allowed over 30 points twice recently, as the Browns and Rams both achieved that feat. The 49ers surrendered 29 to the Cardinals, but they scored 45 and that outcome was never in doubt. The 49ers have scored at least 27 …Thus, for example, a HOME team with a rating of 92 would be favored by 5 points over a VISITING team having a rating of 90. Or a VISITING team with a rating of 89 would be favored by 7 points over a HOME team having a rating of 79. NOTE: Use whatever home advantage is listed in the output below. In the example just above, a home edge of 3 was ...team. Thus, for example, a HOME team with a rating of 4.43 would be. favored by .82 goals over a VISITING team having a rating of 4.11. Or a VISITING team with a rating of 4.56 would be favored by .17 goals. over a HOME team having a rating of 3.89. NOTE: Use whatever home advantage is listed in the output below.Linebacker Mitchel Agude. Wide receiver Maurice Alexander. Offensive lineman Matt Fairnok. Running back Jake Funk. Cornerback Craig James. Wide receiver Tom Kennedy. Safety Brandon Joseph ...Conference Rankings. There are three group ratings, the "central mean", the "simple average" (also known as the "arithmetic mean" ,) and the WIN50% . The "central mean" gives the most weight to the middle team (s) in the group and progressively less weight to teams as you go away from the middle in either direction, up or down.COLLEGE FOOTBALL 2005 thru results of WEDNESDAY, JANUARY 4, 2006 - Final Ratings RATING and PREDICTOR are unbiased and the ELO-CHESS is also UNBIASED. this output has one part: (1) teams listed by RATING top-to-bottom The SCHEDULE ratings represent the average schedule difficulty faced by each team in the games that it's played so far.COLLEGE FOOTBALL 2005 thru results of WEDNESDAY, JANUARY 4, 2006 - Final Ratings RATING and PREDICTOR are unbiased and the ELO-CHESS is also UNBIASED. this output has one part: (1) teams listed by RATING top-to-bottom The SCHEDULE ratings represent the average schedule difficulty faced by each team in the games that it's played so far.The following table is a list of NFL teams with their Elo ratings and projected wins for the 2023 season. (Note: This is basic Elo, so no adjustments for quarterbacks, etc. for the moment.)Find the data here.Also, check out the MLB version here and the NHL version here.Scroll further for projections for upcoming games, and schedule-adjusted …Baltimore now leads the NFL in points allowed (13.8 points per game), ranks second in yards per game allowed (262.6) and is third in sack percentage (9.4%). [ Football Situation Point Values developed in 1983 by V.Cabot,J.Sagarin,W.Winston] [ Men's College Soccer Ratings (Division I)] [ Women's College Soccer Ratings (Division I)] [ College Baseball Ratings for the 2013 Season] [ College Baseball Ratings for the 2014 Season] [ College Baseball Ratings for the 2015 Season] [2023 American League Batters] [2023 National League Batters[2023 American League Pitchers[2023 National League Pitchers[2023 Major League Player Ratings by TeamEmail ...Also known as the "juice" or "vig," if you see NFL Vegas odds of -11.5 (-115), it means you have to bet $115 to win $100 — a 15 percent commission for the sportsbook. The underdog may see a value such as +11.5 (+105), which means you'll have to bet $100 to win $105 if your team successfully covers.Here are the Top 25 FBS Group of Five (G5) rankings based on the Sagarin rankings for the week ending Nov. 18th, 2023 following the Week 12 games. We will will have a final ranking after all bowl games and the College Football Playoff national championship game in January. SMU stays in the the #1.View the 2023 NFL power index on ESPN. The FPI is the best predictor of a team's performance going forward for the rest of the season.the teams in question and allow an ADDITIONAL 3 points for the home. team. Thus, for example, a HOME team with a rating of 27 would be. favored by 5 points over a VISITING team having a rating of 25. Or a VISITING team with a rating of 24 would be favored by 7 points. over a HOME team having a rating of 14.Posted September 20, 2021. On 9/20/2021 at 7:55 AM, NLCTigerFan07 said: It's been well discussed before, the SAC and SIAC both suffer in Sagarin Ratings because they play "closed" schedules of 9 game only conference teams. It messes with the Sagarin Ratings because of this.the teams in question and allow an ADDITIONAL 4 points for the home. team. Thus, for example, a HOME team with a rating of 92 would be. favored by 6 points over a …Our NFL scores and schedule page displays final NFL betting results from recent NFL games and informs bettors which totals and moneylines were accurate, as well as Sportsbook and closing spreads. Odds Shark's NFL scores page also shows predicted NFL results, instant handicapping for halftime odds and second-half betting, in addition to other ...Player Win Averages for 1957-2006 Baseball. Men's College Golf Teams. Golfweek-Sagarin WorldPGA Ratings. Stock Market Point & Figure Chart. Women's College Golf Individual Players. 8th Wonder of the World. The Universal Baseball Association, Inc. Women's College Golf Teams. USA Today - Jeff Sagarin computer ratings.At the same time, Sagarin developed the rankings/ratings system for college football and college basketball, and it appears in the USA Today regularly. It has been used in other sports like the NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, NASCAR and golf to qualify and identify potential winners in each sport. You can use the system at any betting site or in Vegas when ...College Football Sagarin Rankings (2023) Reply. Back To Topics. texasjeremy_Scout. Posted on Aug 29th, 9:57 AM, , User Since 236 months ago, User Post Count: 18823. Aug 29th, 9:57 AM; 236 months ...Lowest Totals. No matching games for this category, or odds have not yet been released. NFL football odds and football betting lines updated multiple times daily. Includes updated point spreads, money lines, and totals lines.Or a VISITING team with a rating of 89 would be favored by 7 points over a HOME team having a rating of 79. NOTE: Use whatever home advantage is listed in the output below. In the example just above, a home edge of 3 was shown for illustrative purposes. The home edge will vary during the season.NFL Draft: Florida State QB Jordan Travis, who broke his leg late last season, picked by Jets Jordan Travis was a fifth-round pick and a good value for the Jets. 4h agoFinal NFL 2023 Ratings through results of 2024 FEBRUARY 11 SUNDAY - SUPER BOWL this output has three parts: (1) teams listed by RATING top-to-bottom (2) DIVISION AVERAGES (listed top-to-bottom & by conference) (3) teams listed by DIVISION (listed in order within divisions) The SCHEDULE ratings represent what the rating would have to be for a ...Final NFL 2010 Ratings through results of 2011 FEBRUARY 6 SUNDAY - Super Bowl this output has three parts: (1) teams listed by RATING top-to-bottom (2) DIVISION AVERAGES (listed top-to-bottom & by conference) (3) teams listed by DIVISION (listed in order within divisions) The SCHEDULE ratings represent what the rating would have to be for a ...The NFL football odds presented here are and always be free of charge. The live NFL lines runs from day 1 of preseason football all the way through the super bowl. Each and every NFL team including the Patriots, New York Jets, Cowboys, and Packers are covered. By having this line service at your disposal you can always say you never took a bad ...College football team ratings 2022; College Football conference ratings 2022-23; MLB team ratings 2022. MLB: AL Batters 2022; MLB: AL Pitchers 2022; MLB: NL Batters 2022; MLB: NL Pitchers 2022; MLS Team Ratings 2022; Nascar driver ratings 2022; NBA team ratings – 2021-22; NFL team ratings 2022; NHL team ratings – 2022; TEAM. MLB: AL Batters ...Both systems give teams higher ratings in the Sagarin system if they win games against stronger opponents. This also takes into account home-venue advantage. The Predictor system also considers the margin of victory or loss, but the law involving diminishing returns applies. A football team that wins 7-6 receives a lower amount of points.the teams in question and allow an ADDITIONAL 3 points for the home. team. Thus, for example, a HOME team with a rating of 27 would be. favored by 5 points over a VISITING team having a rating of 25. Or a VISITING team with a rating of 24 would be favored by 7 points. over a HOME team having a rating of 14.2024; NFL DraftCollege Team Talent; Big-12; SchedulesBig-12; StandingsNCAA polls; ... PROJECTED FINAL STANDINGS BASED ON CURRENT SAGARIN RATINGS - THROUGH WEEK 10 BIG 12 1. Texas 7-2, 9-3 2. TCU 7 ...TUSCALOOSA, Alabama - One of the six computer rankings that contributes to the BCS standings is the Jeff Sagarin NCAA football ratings. The most current rating has Alabama ranked No. 2. LSU is No ...Since Kirk Cousins left after the 2017 season, Washington has the NFL's worst total QBR (36.7). In Ron Rivera's first two seasons as coach the team is 30th (35.3). In Ron Rivera's first two ...Mar 5, 2024 · At the same time, Sagarin developed the rankings/ratings system for college football and college basketball, and it appears in the USA Today regularly. It has been used in other sports like the NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, NASCAR and golf to qualify and identify potential winners in each sport. You can use the system at any betting site or in Vegas when ... The current NFL Power ratings are listed below. The NFL power ratings are ranked from best to worst by default. Click on group by division to sort the NFL teams by division. To calculate a hypothetical line, subtract the home team's rating from the visiting team's, adding 3 points for home field advantage.Final NFL 2013 Ratings through results of 2014 FEBRUARY 2 SUNDAY - SUPER BOWL this output has three parts: (1) teams listed by RATING top-to-bottom (2) DIVISION AVERAGES (listed top-to-bottom & by conference) (3) teams listed by DIVISION (listed in order within divisions) The SCHEDULE ratings represent what the rating would have to be for a ...just click on "Predictions_with_Totals" and it will take you to the daily predictions at bottom of file Final NFL 2022 Ratings through results of 2023 FEBRUARY 12 SUNDAY - SUPER BOWL this output...Sagarin has used a multitude of factors to rank the NFL teams and has your Baltimore Ravens pegged at #5, at least until next week's prime time showdown with the Pittsburgh Steelers. Skip to main ...team. Thus, for example, a HOME team with a rating of 92 would be. favored by 6 points over a VISITING team having a rating of 90. Or a VISITING team with a rating of 89 would be favored by 7 points. over a HOME team having a rating of 78. NOTE: Use whatever home advantage is listed in the output below.USA Today sports section utilizes Sagarin ratings, and they are also publicly available online for various sports like basketball, football, and baseball. ConclusionThe NFL is headed into the playoffs with its head held high after scoring the best regular season audience in years. Across all games, the regular season averaged 17.9M viewers on linear and ...[ Player Win Averages for 1957-2006 Baseball] Every square inch of Indiana falls within the true boundaries of Central Time Zone [Central Time Zone for Indiana] [ All 92 Indiana Counties: Sunrise/Sunset Day-By-Day Charts for 2013-2016 Comparison of Central Time vs. Eastern Time] [ Jeff's Sports Ratings] [ College Basketball Sectionals Page] [ Indiana …Since 2015, the simulator has used Sagarin ratings, a method for measuring the strength of sports teams, when generating game outcomes. This season, it is using its own system partly based on Elo ...just click on "Predictions_with_Totals" and it will take you to the daily predictions at bottom of file Final COLLEGE FOOTBALL 2022 through results of 2023 JANUARY 9 MONDAY - FINAL RATINGS this output has two parts: (1) CONFERENCE AVERAGES (listed top-to-bottom & alphabetically) (2) teams listed by CONFERENCE (listed in order within conferences ...Sagarin's work had been my unbiased tiebreaker. To avoid bias, I don't want my own metric to break the tie, and betting lines are largely garbage designed to pull for the house, with each being worst than the next depending on the day (Not to mention pulling from useless subjective data like polls, recruit grades, preseason opinions, etc.). Final COLLEGE FOOTBALL 2007 through results of 2008 JANUARY 7 MONDAY RATING and PREDICTOR are now unbiased and the ELO-CHESS is UNBIASED now. this output has one part: (1) teams listed by RATING top-to-bottom The SCHEDULE ratings represent the average schedule difficulty faced by each team in the games that it's played so far. Week 7 saw a number of the NFL's top teams go down, while several bottom-dwellers prevailed. Consequently, Eric Edholm's Power Rankings experience a major shakeup, starting at the very top.The official source for NFL news, video highlights, fantasy football, game-day coverage, schedules, stats, scores and more.14. 7. 63. Allegiant Stadium, Paradise, NV. Recap. Box Score. Fast, updating NFL football game scores and stats as games are in progress are provided by CBSSports.com.[2023 American League Batters] [2023 National League Batters[2023 American League Pitchers[2023 National League Pitchers[2023 Major League Player Ratings by TeamEmail ...Aug 26, 2013 · Jeff Sagarin is one of the Godfathers of data-based sports projections, having started earning money for his work in the early 1970s after graduating from M.I.T. The New Rochelle, N.Y., native has ... The majority of the top college football teams get to ease into the 2023 season in Week 1. Most of the best programs play at home against weaker opposition…Get the latest College Football rankings for the 2023 season. Find out where your favorite team is ranked in the AP Top 25, Coaches Poll, CBS Sports Rankings, or Playoff Rankings polls and rankings.Select Draft Speed. Slow. Normal. Fast. Enter Solo Draft. Enjoy Our Multi-User Draft Experience. Create Room. Join Room. Dive into PFN's free NFL Mock Draft Simulator with user-sim, sim-user, and sim-to-sim trades, and be the GM of your favorite NFL team (s) ahead of the 2024 NFL Draft.Thus, for example, a HOME team with a rating of 92 would be favored by 5 points over a VISITING team having a rating of 90. Or a VISITING team with a rating of 89 would be favored by 7 points over a HOME team having a rating of 79. NOTE: Use whatever home advantage is listed in the output below. In the example just above, a home edge of 3 was ...Final NFL 2023 Ratings through results of 2024 FEBRUARY 11 SUNDAY - SUPER BOWL this output has three parts: (1) teams listed by RATING top-to-bottom (2) DIVISION AVERAGES (listed top-to-bottom & by conference) (3) teams listed by DIVISION (listed in order within divisions) The SCHEDULE ratings represent what the rating would have to be for a ...Purdy leads the NFL in passer rating (115.1) and yards per attempt (9.7) by a wide margin. He has the second-highest yards per attempt by any quarterback through 10 team games since 1950 and the ...Jeff Sagarin brought science to sports rankings. That’s why some people hate him. Each day Jeff Sagarin rises at 4:30 a.m., walks down the hall to his office, and wakes up his computer. There in ...Dec 13, 2022, 06:35 AM ET. Email. Print. Welcome to Week 15of the NFL regular season. Our power panel -- a group of more than 80 writers, editors and TV personalities -- has evaluated how teams ...Final COLLEGE BASKETBALL 2022-2023 through results of 2023 APRIL 3 MONDAY - FINAL RATINGS this output has three parts: (1) teams listed by RATING top-to-bottom (2) CONFERENCE AVERAGES (listed top-to-bottom & alphabetically) (3) teams listed by CONFERENCE (listed in order within conferences) RATINGS, WON-LOSS records, and SCHEDULE strengths are ...
Breaking NFL news and in-depth analysis from the best newsroom in sports. Follow your favorite teams. Get the latest injury updates, trade analysis, draft info and more from around the league.. How much do msnbc political contributors get paid
For IPS schools, football can be an uphill battle. Shortridge plays Roncalli in Friday's Class 4A sectional opener. Roncalli is ranked No. 7 statewide in the Sagarin ratings. Shortridge is 269th ...8-1. Previous rank: No. 1. The Eagles were overdue for a bad game, which is a fair classification of Monday night's 32-21 stumble to the Commanders at the Linc. Philly's first loss of the season ...Using the Sagarin rankings for this week of Nov. 4th, the following would be the field of 24 teams for the 2023/24 Division I FCS Football Playoffs.. South Dakota State would be the top seed using the rankings for this week, while Montana State would be the second seed. North Dakota State is the #3, while Idaho and Southern Illinois are the #4 and #5 respectively.Thus, for example, a HOME team with a rating of 2.47 would be. favored by 1.08 goals over a VISITING team having a rating of 1.89. Or a VISITING team with a rating of 3.14 would be favored by .29 goals. over a HOME team having a rating of 2.35. NOTE: Use whatever home advantage is listed in the output below.Conference Rankings. There are three group ratings, the "central mean", the "simple average" (also known as the "arithmetic mean" ,) and the WIN50% . The "central mean" gives the most weight to the middle team (s) in the group and progressively less weight to teams as you go away from the middle in either direction, up or down.Jeff Sagarin (born 1948) is an American sports statistician known for his development of a method for ranking and rating sports teams in a variety of sports. His Sagarin Ratings have been a regular feature in the USA Today sports section from 1985 to 2023, have been used by the NCAA Tournament Selection Committee to help determine the participants in the NCAA Men's Division I Basketball ...Find company research, competitor information, contact details & financial data for SAGRIN S.A. of Montevideo, MONTEVIDEO. Get the latest business insights from Dun & Bradstreet.On PFF, Ohio State has an overall grade of 93.8 (6th national, 2nd relative), an offensive grade of 84.1 (19th national, 5th relative), and a defensive grade of 93.8 (3rd national, 2nd relative ...Get the latest NFL odds, spreads, totals, betting lines, and futures for the league's best match-ups. Win your next football bet with USA TODAY.NFL team ratings 2002; NHL team ratings 2002; 2001. College basketball conference ratings - 2001-02; College basketball team ratings 2001-02; College Football FCS team ratings 2001-02; College football team ratings 2001; MLS team ratings 2001; Nascar driver ratings 2001; NBA team ratings 2001; NFL team ratings 2001; NHL team ratings 2001; 2000Each new NFL season brings hope and promise. At the moment, everyone is tied for No. 1 in their own version of the Power Rankings, which is a great thing.Closed conferences should be treated differently. Case in point, a closed conference of the mega football schools (Cathedral, Center Grove, etc) should not have the same strength of schedule as a closed conference of 1a schools. Sagarin is probably using some aspect of last years playoff results to weight the conferences.Jeff Sagarin's tm Indiana High School Football Ratings [ My Computer Room] [ Jeff's Sports Ratings ... 0 0 | 68.62 65 | 70.34 61 | 65.63 74 3A FINAL Indiana High School Football through games of 2023 November 25 Saturday - State Championships RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 25 | VS top 64 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT HOME ...Final NFL 2012 Ratings through results of 2013 FEBRUARY 3 SUNDAY (SUPER BOWL) this output has three parts: (1) teams listed by RATING top-to-bottom (2) DIVISION AVERAGES (listed top-to-bottom & by conference) (3) teams listed by DIVISION (listed in order within divisions) The SCHEDULE ratings represent what the rating would have to be for a ...Five weeks into the 2022 NFL season, Dan Hanzus' Power Rankings experience a grand reshuffling, with 28 of 32 teams on the move. Check out the changes at the very top, bottom and just about ...A new college football season is upon us, which means it's time to get down to business. Below, you'll find Action Network's updated power ratings for the 2023 season. These power ratings will be updated every week after games, responding to news and injuries along the way. We can use these ratings to create a point spread between any two teams ...New_Feature Final NFL 2015 Ratings through results of 2016 FEBRUARY 7 SUNDAY - Super Bowl this output has three parts: (1) teams listed by RATING top-to-bottom (2) DIVISION AVERAGES (listed top-to-bottom & by conference) (3) teams listed by DIVISION (listed in order within divisions) The SCHEDULE ratings represent what the rating would …Sagarin's Eigenvector predictions. Does anybody here use these, or pay attention to them? Reason I ask is that this method has Oklahoma St. as a 15 pt favorite, whereas his "regular method" has ISU -3, and my book has ISU -6½. Just by reading what you wrote I would not suggest making bets based on Sagarin. Imo..
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